![]() Louis and southern Illinois looked like they had solid tornado potential despite their early-morning arrival. On paper, the second round of storms in St. Just before the road curved south into the town of Vermont, I looked north to see a long, snaky rope tornado: I headed east behind the storm, encountering tornado damage along the road about a mile east of town that included destroyed grain bins and a house partially de-roofed. ![]() My windshield thankfully survived, but I did pick up a few new dents in my hood and roof. Nonetheless, I did encounter a 30-second barrage of hail up to 2 inches in diameter in Industry that was big enough that I was concerned about losing my windshield (I haven't yet built my hail shields for this season). So, I let the storm go at this point, barely threading the needle between the hail in the RFD and in the core to the north. The very fast forward speed of the meso and the maxed-out VILs in the RFD precip (a sign of large hail) made it obvious that attempting that maneuver was just asking for trouble. I briefly entertained the idea of attempting to make it to the east road option to my south, but quickly thought the better of it as it would require a risky transect across the circulation's path. While it had some nice-looking structure, it was struggling in the low levels thanks to the cap and never really showed much of an organized midlevel meso:Īt this point, I suddenly realized that I might not have time to get back east ahead of the storm. I caught it at Perry, IL and stayed with it to Beardstown. Instead of intercepting on Highway 61, I decided to divert at Bowling Green northeast into Illinois to keep ahead of the storm and give it a chance to improve. The storm, now northeast of Columbia, was struggling as it approached Hannibal. However, when storms initiated near Booneville in central Missouri and rapidly strengthened into a supercell, it was clear that the newest model runs were wrong and the original target would be in play. Additionally, nearly all of the newest short-term model runs completely failed to develop storms in that area. I was initially pessimistic about storms in the Hannibal to Galeburg corridor thanks to a very strong cap. Louis' biggest tornado threat, and I would have plenty of time to get home and be rested ahead of that second round. ![]() The second round of storms the following morning would be St. Louis looked low enough that I felt comfortable making the drive toward Hannibal area without worry about missing anything at home. ![]() While this event looked very similar in risk area & synoptic feature placement to the one last Friday (March 31), the potential for daytime supercells in and around St. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |